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Mobile, Broadband, Fixed Line Market Analysis, Opportunities, Trends & Forecasts 2010-2015

Our latest study revolves around the hottest topics in telecoms today – Mobile Broadband & Fixed-Line markets, VoIP, FTTH, advent of 4G via LTE & WiMax technologies; how major players are moving towards consolidating their market presence in face of latest stalwarts which have loomed on the US telecom horizon, and how telcos can plan to raise their ARPUs beyond limits unperceived of yet. The study also brings forth the importance of the next five years for the industry as a whole, how US telecoms can look to better their performances based on global opportunities, and predicts the business trends and forecasts for 2010 – 2015. We take pride in presenting to you a Report which could be termed as a ‘Ready Reckoner’ for everyone associated with telecoms – operators, investors, vendors, regulators, service providers & application developers, content developers, and even the government.

Sources and Methodology

A perspicacious study of the current and expected face of the telecom market, our Report is based on a comprehensive and detailed analysis by seasoned industry researchers, who have taken great pains extracting verifiable data by interviews, sampling and data – mining techniques, field studies, in-depth scrutiny of raw data, and provided thought – provoking analysis and predictions, which would provide the necessary business munitions to telcos to advance their interests, while tackling competitors with an assured step.

Who might be interested in this report:

Telecom Investors
With an obvious interest in the ongoing happenings within USA Telecom Sector, the report provides indepth-insight for telecom investors they cannot neglect. High concerns on the possible variance their investments might go through, is a good enough reason why this report will be beneficial for them.

Operators 
For a better understanding of the dynamics of USA Braodband, Mobile & Fixed Line Markets this study would also provide global opportunities and competition. Business Case Studies, Aboslute picture of the US Subscriber growth and recent developments, is a must read for better understanding of live scenarios.

Vendors
For better product development and giving a competitive edge to the product in sync with the technological revolution.

Service providers and Application Developers
Insight on the market expectations and forecasting risks and opportunities when LTE→4G hits the markets.

Content providers 
The possible changes that content development might go through and issues of adaptability solved.

Regulators

A study of regulatory standards maintained across the globe and the possible amendments that might be required.

Educational Institutes (esp. in the telecom or IT sector)
A complete analysis with case studies for in depth understanding of the 4G technology revolution. A perfect study and research material for both students and professors.

USA Telecom Market Synthesis 2010-2015
[Mobile, Broadband, Fixed Line Market Analysis, Opportunities, Trends & Forecasts for 2010-2015] [October 2010 Edn.]

Key Take-aways from our Research

• Wi-Fi revenues would leap-frog at CAGR of 29.8% (2010 to 2015). Its ‘hot-spots’ are nearing the half-million mark in the States.
• Voice connections would dip to 16.1 million by 2015 – A top telco's woes would rub-off on others as well.  As Data-hungry users rise, Voice's volume would continue to decline.
• Market would rock with over 5 million WiMax subscribers by 2015. Though LTE might be making waves, WiMax would still continue to ripple the telecom surface during the next five years.
• Satellite broadband subscriber base would witness a 4-fold expansion by 2015. The sector, which has only got about a million users as of now, would be diversifying itself onto newer platforms besides just home-users.
• There would be 40 Million DSL subscribers by 2015. USA is the second-largest DSL market in the world, but would add-on a healthy portion during the next five years.
• Residential VoIP revenues would rise over US$ 22 billion by 2015.
• VoIP subscribers would jump by 30 million during 2010-2015.
• There are good signs for Cable VoIP too – Revenues would rise over US$ 86 million by 2015.
• IPTV will add-on 27 million more subscribers by 2015.
• DBS subscribers would grow by 6.5 million in next 5 years.
• Bandwidth hungry apps would fuel ARPU growth by 15-20% (2010-2015).
• Wi-Fi Phones shipment to hit 150 million by 2015 – a good omen or handset manufacturers in the States.
• Mobile Internet to feed 385 million net-savvy enthusiasts by 2015.
• LTE be cautious – WiMax army nears 4 million in 2010.
• Verizon is harefooting the ARPU race…but better glance sideways.
• Smartphone penetration rabbits over 10% (in mere two months).
• MVNO basket - 14 million cherries in just one bag? How others can pluck some has been given thought by us at TeleResearchLabs, as this sector promises to come out of the closet in a big way during 2010-2015.
• VoIP blitzkrieg – Over 22 million subscribers are merely a puff of the thunder ahead.
• USA Telecoms Customer Support – A yen for a dollar.
• Only about 70% of rural households with Internet access had a high speed broadband connection compared to 84% of urban households – and income differences is not the cause as many think.
• Analogue vs. Digital - Low power stations would keep hopes floating.
• Alarming! - Fixed landline market shrunk by US$50 billion in last 7 years.
• Hi-speed Broadband reached 40 million users in 2010.
• Meek! - USA fibre penetration levels are less than a quarter of the global fibre leader. As F-t-t-X technologies unwind, TeleResearchLabs takes a closer look at this market segment.
• The Mobile and Fixed-Line phone plans of many operators could fare better – an exclusive study of consumer adoption behavior by our Researchers could lead to a strategy-makeover for many players.

Key Questions Answered by the Report

1. How telcos can exploit the latest opportunities in the competitive telecom landscape to their advantage in USA?
2. How, and to what extent will broadband penetration in USA grow over the next five years?
3. What are the emerging trends to enhance market share for network services and what TeleResearchlabs predicts for 2010-2015?
4. What affects consumer behavior for smartphones and how various plans of telcos affect adoption behavior?
5. How emerging wireless technologies are affecting business strategies in USA?
6. What would be the ARPU of leading telcos by 2015 by adopting innovative wireless technologies?
7. How the leading telcos performed operationally and financially during last five years?
8. What is the scope of various VoIP platforms in USA during next five years?
9. How telcos can make a big difference by focusing on the customer service side of the business?
10. What innovative pricing plans can leading players devise to lock the 'churn wheel'?
11. LTE or WiMax – What is the deployment viability of both in next five years?

Table of Contents

1.0.           Economic and Political Environment

1.1           Country Overview

1.2           Economy Overview

1.3           Political view

2.0.          USA Telecoms Markets

2.1           Fixed-Line Market

2.2           Wireless Market

2.3           Digital Media Market

2.4           VoIP Market

2.5           Fibre-to-the-Home (F-t-t-H) Market

2.6           Muni-Fi Networks

2.7           Net Neutrality

2.8           Impact of recession on USA Telecoms

2.9           Business Opportunities in Rural,Unserved/ Underserved Markets

2.10        Market Matrix

2.11        Impact of Telecoms on other sectors

3.0.          Regulatory Environment

3.1           Broadband Policy and Regulatory Simulation

3.1.1        Federal Policy

3.1.2        Network Regulation

3.1.3        Analysis of FCC’s National Broadband Plan 2010

3.1.4        Analysis of the Broadband Stimulus Package 2009

3.1.5        Trans-sector Vision and Broadband Development

3.1.6        Video Franchise Directives

3.2           Digital TV Rules

3.2.1        Franchise Laws

3.2.2        Analogue Switch-off

3.2.3        A la carte Internet

3.2.4        ‘TV White Spaces’ decision

3.2.5       Efficient use of Spectrum

3.3           VoIP Regulation

4.0.          Fixed-Line Market Synthesis

4.1           Flinching Landline Market

4.2           Amalgamations

4.3           RBOCs, ILECs, CLECs and IXCs

4.4           Tale of Cable MSOs: VoIP and other threats

4.5           Major Fixed Line Operators [Subscriber base and Revenue forecasts for 2010-2015]

4.5.1        AT&T Inc.

4.5.2        Verizon Communications

4.5.3        Qwest Communications

4.5.4        BellSouth Corporation

5.0.          Broadband Market Synthesis

5.1           Synopsis

5.2           Broadband Market Data

5.3           Cable MSOs v. Telcos

5.4           Fibre-to-the-Home (F-t-t-H)

5.4.1        F-t-t-H Network Market share

5.4.2        F-t-t-X Technology Choices

5.4.3        F-t-t-H Roll-out - RBOC

5.4.4        F-t-t-H Roll-out - Others

5.5           Fixed-Wireless Broadband Markets

5.5.1        Wi-Fi Market

5.5.1.1     WIFi Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

5.5.2        WiMAX Market

5.5.2.1     WiMAX Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

5.5.3        Satellite Broadband Market

5.5.3.1     Satellite Broadband Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

5.5.4        Cable Broadband Market

5.5.4.1     Cable Broadband Market Data

5.5.4.2     Cable Broadband Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

5.5.5        DSL Market

5.5.5.1     DSL Statistics

5.5.5.2     DSL Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

6.0.          VoIP Market Synthesis

6.1           VoIP Statistics

6.2           Scope of VoIP in the US

6.3           IP Telephony Gateways

6.4           Value Added Services

6.5           Mobile VoIP Overview

6.5.1        Key VoIP Service Providers

6.5.2        VOIP Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

6.6           Cable VoIP Overview

6.6.1        Key Cable VoIP Service Providers

6.6.2        Cable VOIP Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

6.7           Other VoIP Service Providers

6.8           Telco VoIP Overview

6.9           VoIP Adoption – General Consumer Behavior

7.0.          Digital Market Synthesis

7.1           Internet Development in the US

7.1.1        ISP Business

7.1.2        Development of Broadband

7.1.3        American life and Internet – Statistical Behavior

7.1.4        Net Neutrality

7.2           Digital TV Market

7.2.1       History

7.2.2       Key Trends

7.2.3       IPTV

7.2.3.1    IPTV Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

7.2.4       Cable DTV

7.2.5       Satellite Direct Broadcasting Service (DBS)

7.2.5.1    DBS Revenue and Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

7.2.6       Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

7.2.7       Digital TV Products

8.0.          Mobile Market Synthesis

8.1           Market Chronology

8.2           Amalgamations

8.3           MVNO Market

8.4           Prepaid Market

8.5           Mobile Handset Statistics

8.6           Mobile Carrier Statistics

8.7           Mobile ARPUs

8.8           Mobile ARPU Forecasts 2010-2015

8.9           Emergence of Mobile Broadband

8.9.1       3G

8.9.2       4G Avatars –LTE and WiMAX

8.9.3       Wi-Fi Compatible Phones

8.9.4       WiMAX Devices

8.9.5       LTE Devices

8.10        Mobile Data Applications

8.11        Mobile Internet

8.11.1     Mobile Internet Subscriber Forecasts 2010-15

8.12        Music on Mobile

8.13        TV on Mobile

8.14        Mobile VoIP – Future of Voice

8.15        Non-voice Messaging – Statistics and Predictions

9.0.          Consumer Acceptance Behaviour - An Exclusive Study

9.1.          Perennial Majors

9.2.          Greenfield Players

9.3.          Chart – Acceptance behavior for Smartphones

9.4.          Chart – Acceptance behavior for Broadband services

9.5.          Survey Poll – Top 5 Telecom Brands and Services in the U.S.

9.5.1        Smartphones

9.5.2.       Analysis of Mobile Subscription Plans – Voice/ Non-voice

9.5.3.       Analysis of Mobile Broadband Plans – Voice/ Data

9.5.4.       Customer Support Analysis – Wake-up call for Telcos!

10. 0.       Key Players Synthesis

10.1         Verizon Wireless

10.1.1      Synopsis

10.1.2      Milestones

10.1.3      Activities

10.1.4      Financials

10.1.5      Management & Shareholding

10.1.6      Case Study – Current Developments and Strategies for 2010-15

10.1.6.1. Inside Story

10.1.6.2. Vendor Selection, Subscriber Coverage, Service Offerings, Revenues and Forecasts

(2010-2015)

10.2.       AT&T Wireless

10.2.1     Synopsis

10.2.2     Milestones

10.2.3     Activities

10.2.4     Financials

10.2.5     Management & Shareholding

10.2.6     Case Study – Current Developments and Strategies for 2010-15

10.2.6.1. Reasons for the Delay

10.2.6.2. Inside Story

10.3.        Sprint/ Clear

10.3.1     Synopsis

10.3.2     Milestones

10.3.3     Activities

10.3.4     Financials

10.3.5     Management & Shareholding

10.3.6     Case Study – Current Developments and Strategies for 2010-15

10.3.6.1. Inside Story

10.3.6.2. Vendor Selection, Subscriber Coverage, Service Offerings, Revenues and Forecasts(2010-2015)

10.4.        Metro PCS

10.4.1      Synopsis

10.4.2      Milestones

10.4.3      Activities

10.4.4      Financials

10.4.5     Management & Shareholding

10.4.6     Case Study – Current Developments and Strategies for 2010-15

10.4.6.1. Inside Story

10.4.6.2. Vendor Selection, Subscriber Coverage, Service Offerings, Revenues and Forecasts(2010-2015)

10.5.        U.S. Cellular

10.5.1     Synopsis

10.5.2     Milestones

10.5.3     Activities

10.5.4     Financials

10.5.5     Management & Shareholding

10.5.6     Case Study – Current Developments and Strategies for 2010-15

10.5.6.1. Inside Story

10.6.        Qwest Communications

10.6.1     Synopsis

10.6.2     Milestones

10.6.3     Activities

10.6.4     Financials

10.6.5     Management & Shareholding

10.7.        Cablevision

10.7.1     Synopsis

10.7.2     Milestones

10.7.3     Activities

10.7.4     Financials

10.7.5     Management & Shareholding

10.8.        Cox Communications

10.8.1     Synopsis

10.8.2     Milestones

10.8.3     Activities

10.8.4     Management & Shareholding

10.9.        Windstream Communications

10.9.1     Synopsis

10.9.2     Milestones

10.9.3     Activities

10.9.4     Financials

10.9.5     Management & Shareholding

10.10      Comcast Corporation

10.10.1.  Synopsis

10.10.2   Milestones

10.10.3   Activities

10.10.4   Financials

10.10.5   Management & Shareholding

11.0.         Analysis-X

11.1         Stock performance of US Telcos

11.1.1      Verizon Wireless

11.1.2.     AT&T

11.1.3      Sprint

11.2         List of acquisitions and mergers

11.2.1      Analysis of past acquisitions and mergers

12.0.        Outlook of USA Telecoms by TeleResearch Labs

13.0.        About Us

List of Tables:

Table 1:     Key Economic Data

Table 2:     Broadband Service Providers Summary

Table 3:     Leading Rural ISPs

Table 4:     Rural Broadband Penetration

Table 5:     Leading WiMAX Service Providers

Table 6:     Top Cable Companies

Table 7:     Cable Advertising Revenue

Table 8:     Top Countries (DSL Subscriber Wise)

Table 9:     Net Subscriber Additions (Q1 2010)

Table 10:   Key VoIP Service Providers

Table 11:   Key Cable VoIP Providers

Table 12:   Fastest Growing ISPs

Table 13:   Broadband Subscribers

Table 14:   High Speed Internet Subscribers

Table 15:   Rural Broadband Penetration

Table 16:   Top Countries (Subscriber Wise-Q1 2010)

Table 17:   Digital TV Market Summary

Table 18:   Digital TV Market Share (Category Wise)

Table 19:   Digital TV Market Share (Player Wise)

Table 20:   Top Countries (Subscriber Wise)

Table 21:   Satellite Broadcasting Market Overview

Table 22:   Wireless Service Revenue

Table 23:   Wireless Market Summary

Table 24:   Leading MVNO Players

Table 25:   Top Mobile OEMs Market Share

Table 26:   Major Telecom Players Market Share

Table 27:   Major Players Statistics

Table 28:   Major Mobile Players ARPU

Table 29:   SMS statistics

Table 30:   Financial Summary

Table 31:   Financial Summary

Table 32:   Segment Wise Revenue

Table 33:   Revenue Matrix

Table 34:   Revenue Matrix (%)

Table 35:   Quarterly Financials

Table 36:   Top Management

Table 37:   Top Shareholders

Table 38:   Verizon Wireless LTE Activities

Table 39:   Financial Summary

Table 40:   Financial Summary

Table 41:   Revenue Segments

Table 42:   Revenue matrix

Table 43:   Quarterly Data

Table 44:   Wireless Quarterly Revenue

Table 45:   Wire-line Quarterly Revenue

Table 46:   Top Management

Table 47:   Top Shareholders

Table 48:   Financial Summary

Table 49:   Financial Summary

Table 50:   Revenue Segments

Table 51:   Operating Data

Table 52:   Revenue Matrix (%)

Table 53:   Top Management

Table 54:   Top Shareholders

Table 55:   Sprint LTE Activities

Table 56:   Financial Summary

Table 57:   Financial Summary

Table 58:   Revenue Segments

Table 59:   Subscribers Data

Table 60:   Quarterly Data

Table 61:   Top Management

Table 62:   Top Shareholders

Table 63:   MetroPCS LTE Activities

Table 64:   Financial Summary

Table 65:   Financial Summary

Table 66:   Revenue Segments

Table 67:   Subscribers Data

Table 68:   Operating Revenue

Table 69:   Operating Revenue (%)

Table 70:   Top Management

Table 71:   Top Shareholders

Table 72:   U.S. Cellular LTE Activities

Table 73:   Financial Summary

Table 74:   Financial Summary

Table 75:   Operating Data

Table 76:   Operating Revenue

Table 77:   Operating Revenue (Quarterly Data)

Table 78:   Top Management

Table 79:   Top Shareholders

Table 80:   Financial Summary

Table 81:   Financial Summary

Table 82:   Operating Data

Table 83:   National Entertaining Programming Networks

Table 84:   Revenue Segments

Table 85:   Revenue Segments (%)

Table 86:   Quarterly Data

Table 87:   Quarterly Data (%)

Table 88:   Top Management

Table 89:   Top Shareholders

Table 90:   Financial Summary

Table 91:   Financial Summary

Table 92:   Revenue Segments

Table 93:   Service & Product Revenue

Table 94:   Quarterly Data

Table 95:   Wire-line Revenue Overview

Table 96:   Wire-line Operating Data

Table 97:   Top Management

Table 98:   Top Shareholders

Table 99:   Financial Summary

Table 100: Financial Summary

Table 101: Revenue Segments

Table 102: Programming Segment

Table 103: Cable Segment Overview

Table 104: Quarterly Data

Table 105: Cable Segment Revenue

Table 106: Cable Segment Revenue Matrix (%)

Table 107: Top Management

Table 108: Top Shareholders

Table 109: List of acquisitions and mergers

List of Charts

Chart 1:   Landline total Market Revenues

Chart 2:   Landline Voice Revenues

Chart 3:   Fixed-line Subscriber Base 2010-2015

Chart 4:   Fixed-line Revenue 2010-2015

Chart 5:   Fixed-line Subscriber Base 2010-2015

Chart 6:   Access line Summary

Chart 7:   F-t-t-H Network Market Overview

Chart 8:   Wi-Fi Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 9:   Wi-Fi Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 10: WiMAX Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 11: WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 12: Satellite Broadband Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 13: Satellite Broadband Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 14: Cable Broadband Revenue Forecast 2010-2015

Chart 15: Cable Broadband Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 16: DSL Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 17: DSL Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 18: VoIP User Base Summary

Chart 19: VoIP Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 20: VoIP Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 21: ISP Market Share (July 2010)

Chart 22: IPTV Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 23: IPTV Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 24: DBS Revenue Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 25: DBS Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 26: Major Mobile Players ARPU Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 27: Wi-Fi Phone Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 28: Mobile Media Usage

Chart 29: Mobile Website Category Visited

Chart 30: Mobile Internet Subscriber Forecasts 2010-2015

Chart 31: Acceptance behavior for Smartphones

Chart 32: Acceptance behavior for Broadband services

Chart 33: Verizon Wireless LTE Progress

Chart 34: Sprint LTE Progress

Chart 35: MetroPCS LTE Progress

Chart 36: US Cellular LTE Progress

Chart 37: Cable Segment Revenue (2005-2009)

Chart 38: % contribution by video segment to total Cable segment

Chart 39: No. of Internet subscribers (millions)

Chart 40: Phone service subscribers (2005-2009)

Chart 41: Revenue from Business & other segments

Chart 42: Share Price Performance

Chart 43: Share Price Performance

Chart 44: Share Price Performance

Analysts

Aseem Bhardwaj (Sr. Research Analyst)
Sullivan Burns (Research Associate)

Address:

TeleResearch Labs Inc.,
9426 Thrush Ln,
Potomac MD 20854, USA

Web: www.teleresearchlabs.com
Email: info [at] teleresearchlabs.com

Phone:
North America/ Americas: +1    202-506-8078/ 646-401-0313
UK/ Europe:                         +44  203-287-2064
Fax:                                        +1    866-778-7936